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London & SW Ontario ICI March 2026 | Released May 19, 2026
Regional Focus
London CMA & SW OntarioLondon CMA — All Permits Mar 2026
$154.4M
▲ +25.2% MoM · YoY: −31.1%
Non-Res Cost Inflation Q3 2025
+2.0%
Also led all CMAs · YoY: +9.9%
Non-Res Cost Inflation Q4 2025
+2.3%
▼ Highest of all 15 monitored CMAs
Ontario ICI — Mar 2026
$2.2B
▲ +49.2% MoM · Industrial surge
London & SW Ontario Context
London CMA rebounded strongly in March 2026, with total building permits rising to $154.4M (+25.2% MoM) — the highest monthly total since the December 2025 spike. The year-over-year comparison remains negative (−31.1%) against an unusually elevated March 2025 ($224.1M), but the underlying trend is positive heading into the Q2 construction season. Ontario's industrial component surged in March, led by Ontario (+$510.8M) — directly relevant to the London CMA and SW Ontario logistics corridor. The institutional pipeline nationally recovered sharply (+83.3% MoM) after February's steep correction, reinforcing that the February decline was a timing anomaly rather than a structural retreat. London CMA continues to lead all 15 monitored CMAs in non-residential construction cost increases — Q3 2025 (+2.0%) and Q4 2025 (+2.3%) — with a YoY non-residential cost increase of +9.9%. Stratford, Woodstock, St. Thomas, Strathroy, Goderich, Exeter, and Tillsonburg continue capturing spill-over ICI activity as site costs and labour in the London CMA tighten. LDCA Member Value Proposition
Rising construction costs, a tightening labour market, tariff pressures, and a strong institutional pipeline across SW Ontario make market intelligence, procurement connections, and training access more valuable — not less. London CMA has now led Canada in non-residential cost increases for two consecutive quarters. Members with access to project data via Link2Build and LDCA's regional network are better positioned to price, bid, and win work as the Q2 2026 construction season opens. London & SW Ontario ICI Report See how these national ICI trends translate locally. The LDCA How's Business Report tracks construction permit activity, project pipelines, and market conditions specific to London and SW Ontario.
12-Month Rolling · London CMA
London CMA — Permit Values by ComponentLondon CMA Building Permit Values by Component ($M) — Apr 2025 to Mar 2026
Industrial
Commercial
Institutional
MURB
March 2026 London CMA total: $154.4M (+25.2% MoM, −31.1% YoY). YoY comparison reflects elevated March 2025 base ($224.1M). ICI component splits estimated from Ontario provincial proportions. Source: Stats Can Table 34-10-0292-01.
BCPI · London CMA
Non-Residential Construction Cost ChangeQuarterly % Change — London CMA vs 15-CMA Composite (Non-Residential)
London CMA
15-CMA Composite
London CMA led all 15 CMAs in Q3 and Q4 2025. YoY non-residential cost increase: +9.9% (Ontario Construction Secretariat, Jan 30 2026).
March 2026
Provincial Permit Values ($B)All Building Permits by Province — March 2026 (Ontario highlighted)
Non-Residential (ICI) Only by Province — March 2026
March 2026 · Statistics Canada
National ICI SnapshotNational Totals
Total Permits (All)
$13.5B
▲ +10.3% MoM · YoY: +8.5%
Non-Residential (ICI) Total
$5.5B
▲ +38.4% MoM · YoY: +30.8%
Residential Total
$8.0B
▼ −3.3% MoM · YoY: −2.9%
Ontario Totals
Ontario All Permits
$4.9B
▲ +8.3% MoM · YoY: +7.8%
Ontario ICI Total
$2.2B
▲ +49.2% MoM · Industrial surge +$511M
Ontario Residential Total
$2.6B
▼ −12.0% MoM · MURB led decline
ICI Components
Industrial
$1.5B
▲ +44.4% MoM · YoY: +123.9%
Commercial
$2.2B
▲ +12.3% MoM · Partial recovery
Institutional
$1.8B
▲ +83.3% MoM · B.C. medical led
MURB
$5.3B
▼ −4.9% MoM · 22,191 units
National Headline — March 2026
Total building permits surged $1.3B (+10.3%) to $13.5B, driven entirely by non-residential. The ICI sector posted its strongest monthly gain in over a year — up 38.4% to $5.5B. Institutional led (+$817M to $1.8B), concentrated in B.C. where newly approved medical institution permits (+$666M) drove the jump. Industrial surged 44.4% to $1.5B, led by Ontario (+$511M) and Quebec (+$114M) — the biggest industrial monthly gain since mid-2024 and a direct signal of strengthening manufacturing and logistics investment across SW Ontario. Commercial partially recovered (+12.3%) after four consecutive monthly declines. MURB fell 4.9% to $5.3B, led by Ontario (−$393M) and Quebec (−$164M).
Full Year 2025
Annual ICI Review — By Component2025 Annual ICI Value ($B)
2025
2024
Year-Over-Year Change ($B)
Gain
Decline
Sources: Statistics Canada, The Daily — Building Permits (Mar 2026, released May 19 2026); Tables 34-10-0292-01 and 34-10-0292-02; Building Construction Price Indexes Q4 2025 (released Jan 27 2026); Ontario Construction Secretariat
BCPI Update Q4 2025 (Jan 30 2026). London & District Construction Association.
2026 ICI Pipeline OutlookSector-by-sector assessment ▲
London & SW Ontario
Outperforming
March rebound to $154.4M confirms the Q2 construction season is opening actively. Ontario's industrial surge (+$511M MoM) signals strengthening logistics and manufacturing investment in the London corridor. Healthcare and LTC
pipeline remains the strongest regional ICI category.
▲
Institutional
Positive
March's +83.3% MoM recovery confirms February's collapse was a one-time timing correction. National institutional total of $1.8B is back in the normal range. Hospital and LTC pipelines remain the strongest ICI segment; multi-year
projects support sustained activity through 2026–27.
—
Industrial
Cautious Optimism
Industrial posted its strongest MoM gain since mid-2024 (+44.4% to $1.5B), with YoY now at +123.9%. Ontario led, driven by logistics and transportation approvals. SW Ontario's position as a key logistics node for the 400-series
corridor makes this a direct local opportunity signal.
—
Commercial
Softening
Commercial recovered +12.3% MoM after four consecutive monthly declines — a welcome break in the trend. YoY is marginally positive (+2.3%). Warehouse and distribution remains the strongest sub-sector in SW Ontario; office and
retail lag. Sustained recovery requires interest rate stability.
▲
MURB
Positive
Multi-unit residential dipped 4.9% MoM nationally to $5.3B, authorizing 22,191 units. Ontario led the decline (−$393M). Despite the monthly softening, the 12-month rolling total of multi-family units remains elevated. London
CMA MURB supported by Ontario housing targets and missing-middle demand.
▼
Tariff & Cost Risk
Monitor
US–Canada tariffs on steel and aluminum continue feeding into metal fabrication costs. Longer lead times and sourcing challenges are creating project delays and escalation risk across all ICI categories.
▼
Labour Market
Tight
Skilled trades shortages and elevated wages cited by builders across all 15 CMAs. London CMA's cost leadership partly reflects this pressure. HVAC, electrical, and structural steel trades remain in highest demand.
2025 Annual ICI SummaryNational non-residential permits
March 2026 — Key NumbersNational building permits snapshot
Related Report
The LDCA How's Business Report provides the local London & SW Ontario lens on these national trends — monthly permit data, top projects, and construction pipeline insights. View How's Business Report → |